Atletico Grauvs
FBC Melgar
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/1/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBC Melgar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Grau 0-0 FBC Melgar, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Grau 1-0 FBC Melgar
Original prediction
FBC Melgar
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.66 | 34.7% | 25.6% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.00 | 30.8% | 29.6% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 34.5% | 44.8% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Grau 0–0 FBC Melgar
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
FBC Melgar
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
FBC Melgar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico GrauDWWDL
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FBC MelgarDWLDW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico GrauFBC Melgar
27.5Attack58.0
66.7Defence60.9
37.7Form56.5
45.9Power58.9
0.67xG1.10