GGOALVIO

Peru · Primera División · 3/22/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Garcilaso hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

46.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauDWLLL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo GarcilasoDLLLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico GrauDeportivo Garcilaso
24.2Attack41.3
66.7Defence68.3
34.8Form55.6
44.0Power57.0
0.50xG0.79
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