GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 3/7/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Grau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cusco are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Cusco hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GrauLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CuscoDWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico GrauCusco
23.8Attack0.0
57.1Defence100.0
23.8Form33.3
38.0Power45.3
0.81xG1.02
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