Atletico Grauvs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Grau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Grau 0-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Original prediction
Atletico Grau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 57.5% | 44.6% | -13.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.96 | 18.6% | 28.0% | 9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.87 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Grau
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Atletico Grau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00