Atletico Grauvs
Alianza Lima
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 4/26/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alianza Lima · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Atletico Grau are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alianza Lima are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Lima hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 71.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.5% in the Primera División, while Alianza Lima holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alianza Lima
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Alianza Lima has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40