Atletico Grauvs
ADT
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/23/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Grau · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Grau 0-0 ADT, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Grau 1-1 ADT
Original prediction
Atletico Grau
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.66 | 55.8% | 45.3% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 25.3% | 29.3% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 4.87 | 19.0% | 25.4% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.66 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Grau 0–0 ADT
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Grau
Probability
45.3%
Model confidence
45.3%
Atletico Grau has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico GrauLDLWL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ADTLDLLW
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico GrauADT
31.0Attack34.5
60.9Defence49.4
37.9Form29.9
45.3Power39.9
1.02xG0.72