Atletico Goianiensevs
Sport Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/11/2026, 7:10:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Sport Recife, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Goianiense 1-1 Sport Recife
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 09:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 52.3% | 42.3% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 30.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 4.43 | 21.0% | 27.7% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Sport Recife
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
42.3%
Model confidence
42.3%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60