Atletico Goianiensevs
Novorizontino
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/24/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novorizontino · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Novorizontino, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Goianiense 0-1 Novorizontino
Original prediction
Novorizontino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 36.4% | 29.3% | -7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.66 | 34.7% | 41.4% | 6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.7 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Novorizontino
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Novorizontino
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Novorizontino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60