Atletico Goianiensevs
Criciuma
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Criciuma, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Goianiense 4-0 Criciuma
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 43.5% | 35.9% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 30.8% | 34.8% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.7% | 29.3% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Criciuma
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.8%
Model confidence
35.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico GoianienseWDWWD
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CriciumaLWLLD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico GoianienseCriciuma
39.5Attack34.6
67.9Defence74.1
53.1Form58.0
55.6Power58.1
0.65xG0.61