GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/21/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atletico Goianiense are 1W-3D-0L in their last 4 (DDDW), averaging 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded, while CRB are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Goianiense hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (54.3 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the Serie B, while Atletico Goianiense holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atletico Goianiense

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico GoianienseDDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.75/1.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
CRBWWW

GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 2.33/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
Atletico GoianienseCRB
38.1Attack50.8
66.7Defence49.2
50.8Form50.8
54.3Power51.9
1.25xG0.92
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