Atletico Goianiensevs
Ceara
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/10/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Goianiense 0-0 Ceara, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Goianiense 2-1 Ceara
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 52.9% | 50.2% | -2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.3% | 29.5% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 4.69 | 19.8% | 20.3% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.8 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Goianiense 0–0 Ceara
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60