Atletico Goianiensevs
America Mineiro
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Goianiense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Goianiense 1-0 America Mineiro, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Goianiense 2-0 America Mineiro
Original prediction
Atletico Goianiense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 72.9% | 71.2% | -1.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.21 | 17.8% | 20.8% | 2.9 pts |
| Away | 10.07 | 9.2% | 8.0% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.7 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Goianiense 1–0 America Mineiro
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Goianiense
Probability
71.2%
Model confidence
71.2%
Atletico Goianiense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60