Atletico FCvs
9 de Octubre
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 9/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico FC 0-0 9 de Octubre, with an exact score probability of 39%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico FC 2-2 9 de Octubre
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 32.3% | 33.3% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.57 | 35.2% | 40.2% | 5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.5% | 26.5% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.57 · Draw 1.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Atletico FC 0–0 9 de Octubre
Exact score probability: 39%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico FCLWDLW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
9 de OctubreDDDLD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico FC9 de Octubre
36.2Attack33.3
78.3Defence78.3
55.1Form55.1
58.0Power58.3
0.55xG0.43