GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sportivo Belgrano · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico Escobar are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Sportivo Belgrano are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Sportivo Belgrano hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (44.5 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sportivo Belgrano holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sportivo Belgrano

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

23.4%

Sportivo Belgrano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico EscobarLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sportivo BelgranoWWDLD

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Atletico EscobarSportivo Belgrano
34.9Attack34.9
49.2Defence81.0
41.3Form50.8
44.5Power56.8
0.49xG1.01
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