Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Zamora FC B
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/30/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zamora FC B · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico el Vigia FC 4-3 Zamora FC B
Original prediction
Zamora FC B
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.6% | 33.3% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.4% | 27.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.24 | 28.1% | 39.6% | 11.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Zamora FC B
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Zamora FC B has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60