Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Zamora FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zamora FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico el Vigia FC 1-3 Zamora FC
Original prediction
Zamora FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 35.0% | 25.9% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.7% | 23.0% | -3.7 pts |
| Away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 51.1% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Zamora FC
Probability
51.1%
Model confidence
51.1%
Zamora FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00