Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Yaracuyanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/13/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yaracuyanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico el Vigia FC 1-0 Yaracuyanos FC
Original prediction
Yaracuyanos FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 38.6% | 31.4% | -7.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 27.8% | 29.7% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 33.6% | 39.0% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–114%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Yaracuyanos FC
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Yaracuyanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00