Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Club Atletico Barinas
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 9/2/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Club Atletico Barinas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico el Vigia FC 2-1 Club Atletico Barinas
Original prediction
Club Atletico Barinas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.83 | 49.3% | 38.4% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.7% | 21.4% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.60 | 25.1% | 40.2% | 15.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Club Atletico Barinas
Probability
40.2%
Model confidence
40.2%
Club Atletico Barinas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40