Atletico el Vigia FCvs
Club Atletico Barinas
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 8/26/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico el Vigia FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico el Vigia FC 2-0 Club Atletico Barinas
Original prediction
Atletico el Vigia FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 47.3% | 40.5% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.1% | 27.5% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.6% | 32.0% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.90 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Atletico el Vigia FC
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Atletico el Vigia FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 10 · GA 15 · avg 2.00/3.00