GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Atletico DE Rafaela are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.9 against 51.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 8% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

53.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atletico DE RafaelaWLDWW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.LWWDL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico DE RafaelaSan Martin S.J.
24.0Attack34.8
74.7Defence66.7
46.7Form44.9
50.9Power51.3
0.52xG0.49
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