Atletico DE Rafaela leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Atletico DE Rafaela head into this in Primera Nacional fixture at Estadio Nuevo Monumental in mixed form (LL), while Nueva Chicago arrive in mixed form (DL). Atletico DE Rafaela have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Nueva Chicago over 2 games.

The model rates Atletico DE Rafaela's attack at 18/100 against a 66/100 Nueva Chicago defence, and Nueva Chicago's attack at 18/100 against a 14/100 Atletico DE Rafaela backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Atletico DE Rafaela have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Nueva Chicago have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Atletico DE Rafaela to win with 55% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Atletico DE Rafaela 5546%, Draw 2795%, Nueva Chicago 1659%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

Atletico DE Rafaela

L

@ Temperley

18 Jul 2026

0–2

L

vs Deportivo Maipu

11 Jul 2026

1–3

D

@ Nueva Chicago

23 Jun 2026

0–0

L

@ Atlanta

16 May 2026

0–2

Nueva Chicago

D

vs Agropecuario

17 Jul 2026

1–1

L

@ Tristan Suarez

11 Jul 2026

0–1

D

vs Atletico DE Rafaela

23 Jun 2026

0–0

L

@ Gimnasia Jujuy

17 Jun 2026

0–4

L

vs Almagro

11 May 2026

1–2

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