Atletico Balboavs
Municipal Limeño
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Balboa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Balboa 0-2 Municipal Limeño
Original prediction
Atletico Balboa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.73 | 32.6% | 36.2% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.1% | 28.7% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.3% | 35.0% | -2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Balboa
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Atletico Balboa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20