Atletico Balboavs
Cacahuatique
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/29/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Balboa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Balboa 1-0 Cacahuatique, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Balboa 0-2 Cacahuatique
Original prediction
Atletico Balboa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.1% | 43.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.3% | 29.1% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.04 | 29.6% | 27.0% | -2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.8 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Balboa 1–0 Cacahuatique
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Balboa
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Atletico Balboa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60