Atletico Avila FCvs
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/4/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Avila FC 0-0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Avila FC 1-2 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.88 | 31.2% | 28.8% | -2.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 31.2% | 33.0% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.6% | 38.2% | 0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Avila FC 0–0 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.0%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00