Atletico Avila FCvs
Bolívar
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Segunda División · 10/18/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolívar · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Avila FC 0-0 Bolívar, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Avila FC 2-3 Bolívar
Original prediction
Bolívar
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 06:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.31 | 26.6% | 21.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 2.87 | 30.7% | 30.6% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 42.6% | 47.8% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Avila FC 0–0 Bolívar
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Bolívar
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Bolívar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico Avila FCLLDLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BolívarWWWWL
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico Avila FCBolívar
20.5Attack43.6
59.0Defence62.8
24.4Form55.1
36.5Power55.7
0.56xG1.04