Atletico Avila FCvs
Anzoátegui FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/14/2026, 7:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Anzoátegui FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Avila FC 1-2 Anzoátegui FC
Original prediction
Anzoátegui FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 13:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.2% | 33.7% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 25.8% | 27.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 33.9% | 39.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Anzoátegui FC
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Anzoátegui FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20