Atletico Atlasvs
Sportivo Barracas
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atletico Atlas 0-0 Sportivo Barracas, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atletico Atlas 1-1 Sportivo Barracas
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 38.6% | 32.4% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.68 | 33.1% | 36.8% | 3.7 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 28.3% | 30.9% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.68 · Draw 1.68 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.7 pts
Projected Score
Atletico Atlas 0–0 Sportivo Barracas
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atletico AtlasLLDLW
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Sportivo BarracasLLWLD
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Atletico AtlasSportivo Barracas
25.3Attack35.6
71.3Defence66.7
41.4Form43.7
48.3Power50.1
0.54xG0.57