Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Atlas W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 63.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00