Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tijuana W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
10.5%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40