Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Tijuana W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20