Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tijuana W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20