GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 3/8/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Atlas W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Pumas UNAM W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Pumas UNAM W hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlas W

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlas WWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pumas UNAM WDWLLW

GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Atlas WPumas UNAM W
33.3Attack55.6
33.3Defence0.0
16.7Form33.3
31.3Power33.8
2.04xG1.73
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