Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puebla W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60