Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Puebla W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 20.1-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80