Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Pachuca W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00