Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pachuca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Pachuca W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Pachuca W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pachuca W
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Pachuca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.20/0.80
GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40