Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Necaxa W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlas W hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Atlas W holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas W
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Atlas W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20