Atlas Wvs
Guadalajara W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/5/2026, 2:06:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Guadalajara W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlas W 0-4 Guadalajara W
Original prediction
Guadalajara W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.09 | 14.9% | 23.7% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.40 | 20.6% | 21.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 1.41 | 64.5% | 54.6% | -9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Guadalajara W
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
Guadalajara W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60