Atlasvs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlas 1-1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Original prediction
Atlas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 39.9% | 41.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.6% | 24.7% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Atlas
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlasLDLWW
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
U.N.A.M. - PumasLWLDD
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtlasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
50.0Attack45.8
41.7Defence50.0
54.2Form45.8
51.2Power47.7
1.62xG1.42