GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Atlas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Club Queretaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Queretaro hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Liga MX, while Atlas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Atlas

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

13.2%

Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtlasWLLLW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Club QueretaroDLLWW

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AtlasClub Queretaro
44.4Attack55.6
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form66.7
58.8Power62.6
1.45xG1.34
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