Atlasvs
Club Queretaro
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Atlas are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Club Queretaro are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Club Queretaro hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.2% in the Liga MX, while Atlas holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlas
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
13.2%
Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80