GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Atlas 1-3 Club Queretaro

Original prediction

Atlas

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1443.6%47.0%3.4 pts
Draw3.2728.5%26.7%-1.8 pts
Away3.3427.9%26.3%-1.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–010%

Predicted outcome

Atlas

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AtlasWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Club QueretaroLDDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtlasClub Queretaro
53.3Attack40.0
66.7Defence60.0
80.0Form46.7
69.3Power51.9
1.55xG0.94
View match centre →