Atlasvs
Atlante FC
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlas 1-1 Atlante FC
Original prediction
Atlas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.4% | 48.7% | 1.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.9% | 26.4% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.77 | 24.7% | 25.0% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Atlas
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Atlas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlasLWWWL
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante FCDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AtlasAtlante FC
50.0Attack33.3
55.6Defence55.6
66.7Form33.3
59.9Power43.7
1.56xG0.95