GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Atlas U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Atlas U21 1-0 Atlante U21, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Atlas U21 4-0 Atlante U21

Original prediction

Atlas U21

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8749.0%48.8%-0.2 pts
Draw3.5925.5%27.5%2.0 pts
Away3.5925.5%23.7%-1.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.2 pts

Projected Score

Atlas U21 1–0 Atlante U21

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Atlas U21

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

48.8%

Atlas U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlas U21WDWLD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Atlante U21LWDDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Atlas U21Atlante U21
33.3Attack38.9
77.8Defence44.4
44.4Form27.8
53.1Power40.0
1.30xG0.71
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