Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 22 July 202618:00Updated today
Atlas Delmenhorst

Atlas Delmenhorst

Home
D
vs
18:00
Wilhelmshaven

Wilhelmshaven

Away
DD
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Wilhelmshaven33%
Atlas Delmenhorst33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Atlas Delmenhorst
33%
Draw
33%
Wilhelmshaven
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Atlas Delmenhorst
9
Wilhelmshaven
34
Defence
Atlas Delmenhorst
91
Wilhelmshaven
66
Momentum
Atlas Delmenhorst
33
Wilhelmshaven
33
Danger (xG)
Atlas Delmenhorst
0.00
Wilhelmshaven
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.44 xG for Atlas Delmenhorst and 1.11 xG for Wilhelmshaven — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Atlas Delmenhorst holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.55 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Atlas Delmenhorst's Defensive Stability (91) and Wilhelmshaven's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Atlas Delmenhorst)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Wilhelmshaven)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atlas Delmenhorst)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Wilhelmshaven)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atlas DelmenhorstAtlas Delmenhorst
D
WilhelmshavenWilhelmshaven
DD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Atlas Delmenhorst33%
Draw33%
Wilhelmshaven33%

Wilhelmshaven leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Atlas Delmenhorst vs Wilhelmshaven: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Atlas Delmenhorst host Wilhelmshaven in Friendlies Clubs. Atlas Delmenhorst have recorded DWWWLW in recent matches while Wilhelmshaven arrive with a run of WWLDLL. These sides have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.4 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.44 for Atlas Delmenhorst and 1.11 for Wilhelmshaven. The gap of 1.32 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Atlas Delmenhorst have been conceding 1.74 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 3 of the last 5 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Atlas Delmenhorst 0Draws 10 Wilhelmshaven
Avg goals: 0.0
17 May 2026
Atlas Delmenhorst
D00
Wilhelmshaven

Recent form

Atlas Delmenhorst

Atlas Delmenhorst

D
@ Wilhelmshaven
17 May 2026
00
Wilhelmshaven

Wilhelmshaven

D
vs Atlas Delmenhorst
17 May 2026
00
D
@ Wetschen
13 May 2026
22

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atlas Delmenhorst vs Wilhelmshaven?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atlas Delmenhorst vs Wilhelmshaven?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Atlas Delmenhorst vs Wilhelmshaven?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atlas Delmenhorst vs Wilhelmshaven?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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