GGOALVIO

Germany · DFB Pokal · 8/12/2023, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Atlas Delmenhorst are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC St. Pauli are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC St. Pauli hold a 74.2-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 81.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the DFB Pokal, while FC St. Pauli holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC St. Pauli

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Atlas DelmenhorstWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FC St. PauliDWWWW

GF 16 · GA 3 · avg 3.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Atlas DelmenhorstFC St. Pauli
0.0Attack100.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form83.3
7.0Power81.2
1.38xG2.68
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