Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 25 July 202613:00Updated today
Atlas Delmenhorst

Atlas Delmenhorst

Home
D
vs
13:00
Arminia II

Arminia II

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Arminia II33%
Atlas Delmenhorst33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score1-1
Win probability
Atlas Delmenhorst
33%
Draw
33%
Arminia II
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Atlas Delmenhorst
9
Arminia II
34
Defence
Atlas Delmenhorst
91
Arminia II
66
Momentum
Atlas Delmenhorst
33
Arminia II
33
Danger (xG)
Atlas Delmenhorst
0.00
Arminia II
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 2.48 xG for Atlas Delmenhorst and 0.97 xG for Arminia II. Arminia II's projected xG of 0.97 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Atlas Delmenhorst's Defensive Stability Score (91) comfortably exceeds the opposition's Attack Score (34). That structural defensive advantage is the clearest reason the model does not project both teams scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 3.45 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.The defensive profiles of both sides are stronger than their attacking counterparts — Atlas Delmenhorst's Defensive Stability (91) and Arminia II's (66) both suggest teams capable of limiting the opposition. When both defences are this organised, the model expects a lower-scoring environment.

xG for (Atlas Delmenhorst)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Arminia II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atlas Delmenhorst)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Arminia II)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atlas DelmenhorstAtlas Delmenhorst
D
Arminia IIArminia II
D

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Atlas Delmenhorst33%
Draw33%
Arminia II33%

Arminia II leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Atlas Delmenhorst vs Arminia II: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Atlas Delmenhorst host Arminia II in Friendlies Clubs. Atlas Delmenhorst have recorded DWWWLW in recent matches while Arminia II arrive with a run of LWWDWL. These sides have met 1 times recently, averaging 0.0 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.48 for Atlas Delmenhorst and 0.97 for Arminia II. The gap of 1.51 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Atlas Delmenhorst

Atlas Delmenhorst

D
@ Wilhelmshaven
17 May 2026
00
Arminia II

Arminia II

D
@ Türkspor Dortmund
17 May 2026
11

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atlas Delmenhorst vs Arminia II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atlas Delmenhorst vs Arminia II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Atlas Delmenhorst vs Arminia II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atlas Delmenhorst vs Arminia II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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