Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PEPO · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%), 3-3 (5%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlantis 0-0 PEPO
Original prediction
PEPO
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.4% | 35.4% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 22.0% | 18.3% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.55 | 35.6% | 46.3% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–37%
- 2.2–27%
- 3.3–35%
Predicted outcome
PEPO
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
PEPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AtlantisLWWWD
GF 18 · GA 12 · avg 3.60/2.40
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
PEPODWWWW
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AtlantisPEPO
100.0Attack64.9
19.3Defence57.9
56.1Form66.7
56.8Power63.8
2.46xG3.04