Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlantis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Atlantis are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Honka are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 4.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlantis hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (66.2 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.7% in the Suomen Cup, while Atlantis holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Atlantis
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
6.7%
Atlantis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60
GF 20 · GA 3 · avg 4.00/0.60