Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante W 1-2 Toluca W
Original prediction
Toluca W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
49.9%
Model confidence
49.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Atlante WLLW
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Toluca WDWWLL
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Atlante WToluca W
33.3Attack77.8
33.3Defence77.8
33.3Form77.8
37.2Power77.5
1.28xG2.20