Atlante U21vs
Toluca U21
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Atlante U21 are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DLD), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded, while Toluca U21 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca U21 hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (40.2 v 60.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Liga MX U21, while Toluca U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca U21
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Toluca U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20