Atlante U21vs
Monterrey U21
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX U21 · 9/25/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Monterrey U21 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Atlante U21 0-1 Monterrey U21, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlante U21 5-4 Monterrey U21
Original prediction
Monterrey U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 02:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 30.7% | 20.1% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.6% | 24.4% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.10 | 42.7% | 55.5% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Projected Score
Atlante U21 0–1 Monterrey U21
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Monterrey U21
Probability
55.5%
Model confidence
55.5%
Monterrey U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20